Lone Star State rivals meet in Austin

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/20/2007 - Austin, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Intrastate and Big 12 rivals will collide in Austin this evening, as the 19th-ranked Texas Longhorns welcome the Texas Tech Red Raiders to town.

Back-to-back wins have enabled Texas Tech to move to 17-10 overall and 6-6 in Big 12 action. The most recent victory came over Colorado on Saturday, as the Red Raiders put forth one of their best offensive efforts of the season en route to the 95-74 romp.

The goal for Texas today will be to extend its school record streak of 20-win seasons to eight. The Longhorns are riding a three-game winning streak and continue to battle for Big 12 supremacy. On Saturday, they were pushed to the limit by Baylor but emerged with a 68-67 triumph.

Texas recorded a 76-64 victory in the first meeting with Tech this season, and leads the all-time series at 66-52.

Texas Tech guard Jarrius Jackson is clearly one of the best players in the Big 12, and he has scored at least 24 points in five of the last six games. Jackson is averaging 20.7 ppg on the strength of his 46.7 percent shooting from three-point range, and the fact that he is a strong free throw shooter as well comes in handy at the end of close games. Martin Zeno has developed into an outstanding second scoring option for the Red Raiders, as he is posting 17.0 ppg on 50.3 percent shooting from the floor. Zeno, at 80.4 percent, is an even more accurate free throw shooter than Jackson. In the 21-point win over Colorado on Saturday, Jackson scored 28 points while Zeno racked up 24. Charlie Burgess hit 4-of-6 three-pointers en route to 16 points for the Red Raiders, who finished with only nine turnovers and a 22-5 edge in points from the foul line.

Texas is 19-0 against Baylor during the Rick Barnes-era after beating the Bears over the weekend. It comes as no surprise that freshman phenom Kevin Durant led the way in the win, as he registered 20 points and 14 rebounds for his 16th double-double of the campaign. He has recorded double figures in scoring in all 26 outings and has reached the 20-point mark 22 times. Connor Atchley scored a career-high 15 points in the win, while A.J. Abrams (12 points) and D.J. Augustin (11 points) added balance to the lineup. Durant is averaging 24.7 ppg and 11.5 rpg, numbers that we are not accustomed to seeing by a Big 12 player, especially a freshman. He is more worthy than anyone to be named National Player of the Year, especially considering the fact that his supporting cast is rather young and inexperienced for the most part. Abrams is scoring 15.1 ppg, and Augustin checks in with 14.3 ppg and 174 assists against 88 turnovers.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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